Background

Location

Jordan , officially the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan,is a country in Western Asia. It is situated at the crossroads of Asia, Africa and Europe,within the Levant region, on the East Bank of the Jordan River. Jordan is bordered by Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Syria, Israel and the West Bank of Palestine. The Dead Sea is located along its western borders, and the country has a 26-kilometre (16 mi) coastline on the Red Sea in its extreme south-west.[9] Amman is the nation’s capital and largest city, as well as the economic, political and cultural centre.

Wikipedia.

Leaflet | Tiles © Esri — Source: Esri, DeLorme, NAVTEQ, USGS, Intermap, iPC, NRCAN, Esri Japan, METI, Esri China (Hong Kong), Esri (Thailand), TomTom, 2012

Climate

The climate in Jordan varies greatly. Generally, the further inland from the Mediterranean, there are greater contrasts in temperature and less rainfall.The country’s average elevation is 812 m (2,664 ft) (SL).The highlands above the Jordan Valley, mountains of the Dead Sea and Wadi Araba and as far south as Ras Al-Naqab are dominated by a Mediterranean climate, while the eastern and northeastern areas of the country are arid desert.Although the desert parts of the kingdom reach high temperatures, the heat is usually moderated by low humidity and a daytime breeze, while the nights are cool.

Summers, lasting from May to September, are hot and dry, with temperatures averaging around 32 °C (90 °F) and sometimes exceeding 40 °C (104 °F) between July and August.The winter, lasting from November to March, is relatively cool, with temperatures averaging around 13 °C (55 °F).Winter also sees frequent showers and occasional snowfall in some western elevated areas.

Wikipedia.

What happened during the pandemic - Timeline


Wikipedia.


What happened during the pandemic - COVID-19 Impact on Households in Jordan


This report is part of a series of rapid assessments to explore the impact of COVID-19 and government response measures on households and businesses in Jordan. It focuses on the impact on households across Jordan and is based on an online survey of 12,084 respondents.The survey took place during the lockdown (last week of April until 3 May 2020) and highlights the significant impact the measures had on the livelihoods of many. As lockdown measures are gradually easing and the economy is opening up, some of the challenges will ease yet many respondents feel that the COVID-19 crisis will have a long-term impact on their livelihoods. - Only 6.8% reported that they were still employed as compared to before lockdown measures were introduced.

United Nations Development Programme



What does the data say


Data can be analyzed considering the confirmed cases,death cases and recovered cases. Using the coronavirus dataset, the analysis was performed. The data were obtained from the period of 22nd of January to 18th of Sep 2021.


Using the above plot it can be seen that until the end of the February no confirmed case was reported.Also until first week of September confirmed cases were under 100. But After 2nd week of September more than 150 cases per day reported.There was a significant increase of the confirmed cases in 3rd week of September.On 18th of November confirmed cases reached to the highest number recorded in First wave of pandemic in Jordan. From 4th week of November to end of January 2021, the confirmed cases were significantly reduced. After 2nd week of February confirmed cases significantly increased till 3rd week of March 2021. More than 9000 cases per day reported.There was a decreasing patten of the confirmed cases after start of April 2021. After second wave Jordan confirmed cases are lying between 500-1500 per day.

Using the above plot it can be seen that until the end of the March no many patients were recovered.But in the beginning of the 1st week of December the highest number of recoveries per day in Jordan of 7933 recoveries were reported. From 2th week of December to end of January 2021, the recovered cases were significantly reduced. After 2nd week of February recovered cases significantly increased again till 3rd week of March 2021. More than 9000 recoveries per day reported.There was a decreasing patten of the recovered cases after start of April 2021 along with confirmed cases. After second wave Jordan recovered cases are below 1200 per day.

Above plot shows us that that until 27th March 2020 no death case was reported.Also until 2nd of October death cases were under 10. But After 1st week of October death toll increased rapidly.At highest point more than 90 cases per day reported. From 2th week of November to end of February 2021, the death cases were significantly reduced. After 2nd week of March confirmed cases significantly increased again till 3rd week of March 2021. More than 100 cases per day reported.There was a decreasing patten of the confirmed cases after start of April 2021. After second wave Jordan death cases are lying between 0-30 per day.



The country had seen an “exponential” rise, with about 10,000 cases confirmed in just more than a week – a near-doubling of the total number of infections since the first cases in early March and a reversal of what had been among the lowest infection and death rates in the Middle East With ease lockown restrictions on june 6th 2020 onwards, active cases significantly increased.Then again travel restrictions imposed on 9th October 2021 onwards.Above plot shows that it helped to decrease active cases.



We can clearly see two waves of pandemic in Jordan using above plots.In each wave time period, number of confirmed cases,recovered cases and death cases significantly gone high. All the waves were came along with ease travel restrictions.After one week of lockdown imposed ,numbers were getting high always.




Comparison with other countries



timberdirect.



Jordan is bounded to the north by Syria, to the east by Iraq, to the southeast and south by Saudi Arabia, and to the west by Israel and the West Bank.



Comparison with other countries - Confirmed Cases





When comparing confirmed cases of Jordan with Egypt, we can see Jordan have very high values of confirmed cases. Jordan have 812681 total cases which are way bigger than Egypt.We can clearly see two waves of covid hitted hard Jordan rather than Egypt. When comparing confirmed cases of Jordan with Israel and Iraq,Israel and Iraq started to face pandemic earlier than Jordan.Israel and Iraq have higher numbers of confirmed cases than Jordan.Also these days Israel and Iraq both are facing covid 3rd wave. Saudi Arabia has been perfectly managed covid cases rather than Jordan Gasa and Syria have not enough data to compare.





From these graphs we can see that Egypt and Syria has low coronavirus cases compared to neighbor countries(.Reasons may be lack of data provided by governments.) Iraq, Israel have approximately same confirmed cases as Jordan. Iraq and Israel recorded higher outlier cases than other countries.



Comparison with other countries - Recovered Cases





As you can see in plots Egypt have very low recovered cases than Jordan.Syria shows very low recovered cases since they have reported low confirmed cases.Saudi Arabia and Gasa have law recovered cases along with their confirmed cases.Israel and Iraq have much more Recovered cases than Jordan along with their confirmed cases.



In this case Israel shows high outlier cases.

Comparison with other countries - Death Cases



In this case all countries show high outlier cases and most death cases in this region reported in Iraq.

According to Box plot Israel have low death cases with their high confirmed cases compared to other regional countries.Their Vaccination Program highly affects their death rate.Although they Are facing 3rd wave of corona their death rate still low. Iraq and Egypt have more death cases than Jordn. Egypt have less confirmed cases than Jordan but their death cases still very high.That means their death ratio is high compared to Jordan. Iraq have more death cases along with their high confirmed cases while Saudi Arabia and Gasa have low death cases along with their low confirmed cases.

Vaccination Program Worldwide



Vaccination Program Worldwide - Top 20 Countries


65.2 %65.3 %65.3 %65.9 %69.5 %70.9 %71.6 %71.7 %72 %72.5 %73.3 %73.7 %74.6 %76.5 %77 %77.7 %80.3 %80.6 %81.6 %94.6 %0%20%40%60%80%ItalyUnited KingdomNorwayFranceCanadaSeychellesBelgiumSan MarinoChinaIrelandChileUruguayDenmarkSpainQatarSingaporeIcelandUnited Arab EmiratesPortugalMalta
Percentage of Fully Vaccineted Population - Top 20 CountriesPercentage

Vaccination Program Worldwide - Jordan New cases vs Total popolation


Apr 2020Jul 2020Oct 2020Jan 2021Apr 2021Jul 202100.20.40.60.81
Daily Cases (Normalized)Jordan - Daily New Cases vs. Total Vaccinated Population (Normalized)Normalized Daily Cases/Total Vaccinated

Discussion & Conclusions



This project was done to analysis the coronovirus effect of the country Jordan. To do the analysis with comparisons, I have used six other neighboring countries. they are Saudi Arabia,Syria,Israel,Gasa,Egypt and Iraq. All these 7 countries have similar climate conditions. But coronavirus spreading is different in countries.

With this COVID-19 outbreak, Jordan maintained their confirmed cases below 30. But unfortunately in March 2020, a wedding in Jordan led to a large outbreak of coronavirus.Authorities collected data on 350 wedding attendees, 76 who of whom developed COVID-19. What was the mistake Jordan did.

Jordan have created new websites and apps to alert people about all data about pandemic and impose travel restrictions to control pandemic.

data count
Avg PCR tests per million pop 707117
total confirmed rate per mil. pop 70630
total death rate per mil. pop 910
daily positive rate 3.05
daily death rate per mil. pop 2.7

Jordan Government



AS shown in data (upto 28/09/21) Jordan government is having the situation under control compared to region, however careful attention should be paid towards vaccination program as it bringing more fatal cases down in the long run. However with regards to other countries as mentioned earlier, Jordan is doing well as a non-island country. Everyone is being advised to keep their distance from other people to help stop the spread od coronavirus and get vaccinated, Some people with underlying health conditions need to take even more precautions to protect themselves, that includes people over the age of 70.



References